Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.062481 0.073881 0.086653 0.102006 0.119946 0.140231 0.164890
2025-05-11 0.045366 0.060188 0.078665 0.103320 0.135284 0.175242 0.228906
2025-05-18 0.036299 0.052675 0.074849 0.106909 0.151899 0.212579 0.300403
2025-05-25 0.028313 0.044322 0.067563 0.103501 0.157366 0.234724 0.353783
2025-06-01 0.023468 0.039240 0.063559 0.103406 0.166595 0.262326 0.417548
2025-06-08 0.019556 0.034712 0.059391 0.101988 0.173040 0.285936 0.477660
2025-06-15 0.017221 0.032263 0.057987 0.104512 0.185697 0.320275 0.558390
2025-06-22 0.014743 0.029075 0.054752 0.103288 0.191654 0.344067 0.624271
2025-06-29 0.012529 0.025950 0.051080 0.100613 0.194480 0.362540 0.682818
2025-07-06 0.010632 0.023080 0.047393 0.097267 0.195445 0.377549 0.736561
2025-07-13 0.009646 0.021858 0.046652 0.099392 0.206863 0.412679 0.831054
2025-07-20 0.008654 0.020447 0.045304 0.100066 0.215431 0.443255 0.920151
2025-07-27 0.007738 0.019071 0.043871 0.100464 0.223720 0.474686 1.015570
2025-08-03 0.007022 0.018025 0.042995 0.101942 0.234486 0.512391 1.128254
2025-08-10 0.006540 0.017449 0.043073 0.105524 0.250226 0.562068 1.271383
2025-08-17 0.005670 0.015753 0.040302 0.102166 0.250056 0.577988 1.344317
2025-08-24 0.005108 0.014742 0.039002 0.102073 0.257303 0.610754 1.457665
2025-08-31 0.004547 0.013630 0.037276 0.100673 0.261244 0.636504 1.558027
2025-09-07 0.004240 0.013161 0.037112 0.103166 0.274922 0.685988 1.718319
2025-09-14 0.003803 0.012236 0.035605 0.101957 0.279198 0.713848 1.830672
2025-09-21 0.003361 0.011212 0.033670 0.099315 0.279443 0.732003 1.921581
2025-09-28 0.002949 0.010201 0.031608 0.096010 0.277492 0.744495 1.999850
2025-10-05 0.002765 0.009876 0.031467 0.098109 0.290386 0.795760 2.181419